ThreatRate Reports October 2018
Civil War in Yemen
Civil Unrest
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Yemen’s civil war can be said to have started in September 2014 when Houthi rebels seized Yemeni capital Saana and then proceeded to march on the country’s largest port, Aden. The Houthi rebels – mostly followers of the Zaidi sect of Islam (a branch of Shia Islam); the cause for the seizing of Saana was the decline of fuel subsidies, and the subsequent seizure of the presidential palace was due to failed negotiations to form a united government and resolve the fuel price issue. What would typically be considered an internal civil conflict has ballooned into an international issue and a proxy battle between two regional powers – Iran and Saudi Arabia. The latter party and its allies such as the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, United States, and the United Kingdom are backing the forces of the former president – who revoked his resignation - Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi; whereas, Iran is backing the Houthi rebels. Complicating an already contentious civil war, Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and the Islamic State (ISIS) are also building forces in Yemen and, indeed, AQAP has seized control of some territory and implemented Shariah law. AQAP especially has taken advantage of the fragmentation and disorder in the country to use Yemen as an operations headquarters to prepare for attacks in other countries.
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